“The past resembles the future more than one drop of water resembles another.”

Latest posts
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A Stable Iran Serves Gulf Interests Better Than Chaos
American air and naval assets are moving rapidly into the Middle East, what President Trump describes as an “armada”towards Iran “just in case”. My latest piece for Observer Research Foundation Middle East argues that the immediate region would be better off with a calculable — and now weakened — Iran. Read HERE.
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Venezuela Echoes Iraq: What is America’s Grand Strategy?
In my debut piece for ORF Middle East, I argue that there are many parallels between the US capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and the 2003 Iraq war, although Trump is still mulling over long-term governance. What the latest Latin American episode has demonstrated is America’s intent to govern the world “by force” without
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![[Media Comments] Long and winding road to Gaza peace as Palestinian nation-building hopes remain illusory](https://clemenschay.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/difficult-road-to-peace.png?w=1024)
[Media Comments] Long and winding road to Gaza peace as Palestinian nation-building hopes remain illusory
Quoted in Singapore’s Chinese media outlet, Lianhe Zaobao, on Gaza’s road to peace, as of 19 October, 2025. Highlights of my comments are as follows: (1): At the moment, it seems that the first phase of Gaza deal will hold — with US President Donald Trump playing a crucial role in keeping it intact. His
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Simply email me or drop me a DM on Twitter or LinkedIn. For my list of downloadable academic publications, please click here to visit my academia.edu profile.
Looking for collaboration?
The Gulf Cooperation Council states are undergoing immense socio-economic transformation, in a bid to both attract talent and wean themselves off oil. These exciting developments offer a bountiful of research opportunities.
Whether you are looking for advice on the Gulf Arab states, a meeting for collaboration, or a discussion on a policy/academic project, please feel free to get in touch.
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